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Auto Market Weekly Summary
Federal Reserve Update:
- The Fed increased the federal funds rate by 0.25%, citing strong economic growth and resilience in consumer spending despite rising energy prices.
- There is concern whether the labor market justifies further tightening, as inflation persists, particularly with rising diesel prices impacting supply chains and costs.
Economic Indicators:
- Retail sales rose 1.2% in August, indicating broad-based consumer spending, though driven by higher fuel costs.
- New-vehicle affordability dipped due to higher vehicle prices and lower incentives, though income growth continues to outpace transaction price increases.
Market Conditions:
- Financing costs for vehicles are rising, with new-vehicle loan rates up 20 basis points, potentially impacting consumer behavior for big-ticket items.
- The auto market remains resilient despite rising pressures on consumers, with high-income buyers predominantly driving sales.
Manheim Valuation Trends:
- Manheim values fell slightly, marking the first year-over-year decline since early 2026, amidst rising gas prices and seasonal depreciation.
Bottom Line:
While the auto market currently shows resilience, growing financial strain on average consumers could lead to decreased demand in the future.
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