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American Gaming Association Anticipates Unprecedented Tournament Numbers

NCAA March Madness Betting Predictions

  • The American Gaming Association predicts record-breaking betting totals for the upcoming NCAA March Madness tournaments.

  • An estimated $3.3 billion is expected to be wagered on both men’s and women’s tournaments.

  • This signifies a 54% increase compared to last year’s totals.


Context and Comparisons

  • In comparison, the AGA projected that Americans would wager $1.76 billion on February’s Super Bowl, highlighting that March Madness betting could be significantly higher.

Upcoming Tournaments

  • The 2026 NCAA March Madness tournaments will commence the week of March 17, with the men’s first-four play-in games.

  • Bill Miller, AGA’s president and CEO, emphasized the enthusiasm among U.S. sports bettors for the regulated markets during this heightened sports moment.

Growth in Sports Betting Advertising

  • There is a noticeable increase in advertising by prediction markets. Data reveals that 43% of digital sports betting ads did not meet state-required responsible gaming messages, particularly from these operators.

  • Kalshi has emerged as a top advertiser, with consumers exposed to 5.2 billion ads this year, compared to 2.9 billion for FanDuel.

  • Despite a surge in digital ad impressions, overall sports betting advertising volume has trended downward, showing a 5% year-over-year decline.

Conclusion

The momentum of legal sports betting continues to grow, especially in the context of NCAA March Madness, as bettors increasingly turn to regulated markets. However, the landscape for sports betting advertising remains complex, with rising numbers in digital impressions but a decline in overall ad spend.

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