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India’s Travel Industry Slows in 2025 but Expected to Recover in 2026

Overview of India’s Travel Market

India’s travel market is showing signs of significant transformation, as highlighted in Phocuswright’s India Travel Market Essentials 2026 report. The market reached $41.7 billion in 2025, reflecting a modest 1% growth compared to 10% in 2024.

Shifts in Booking Behavior

  • Online bookings saw a 4% increase, totaling $24 billion.
  • Offline bookings declined by 2%, standing at $17.8 billion.
  • Online penetration reached 57%, indicating a clear shift toward digital booking methods.

Segment Analysis

  • Air Travel: The weakest segment, negatively impacted by operational issues with IndiGo and Air India.
  • Car Rentals: This category experienced the most growth, as travelers opted for road trips amid uncertainty.

Future Forecasts

  • 2026: Phocuswright predicts 13% growth to reach $47.2 billion, with part of the increase attributed to higher airfares.
  • 2027: Growth is expected to moderate to 7%, stabilizing around 8% annually to hit $59.1 billion by 2029. Online penetration is projected to rise to 62%.

Challenges Facing Airlines

India’s airline industry faces pressure from escalating fuel costs, compelling carriers to implement fuel surcharges and raise fares. However, budget-conscious travelers are limiting how much of these costs can be transferred to them. Alternatives such as rail and road transport continue to appeal to those seeking cost-effective options.

  • The government has pledged about $1.04 billion (₹100 billion) in support for aviation fuel stabilization.
  • Air India has streamlined its international operations, and IndiGo is revising its fleet strategy while reporting a $249 million (₹23.94 billion) net loss for FY26.

Airline Growth Predictions

Phocuswright forecasts 16% growth for the airline sector in 2026, primarily due to higher fares, followed by a slower growth trajectory in 2027.


Online Travel Agency (OTA) Innovations

Indian OTAs are expanding their service offerings beyond traditional bookings:

  • MakeMyTrip has acquired a majority stake in Flamingo Transworld.
  • Cleartrip has added rail services to its portfolio.
  • EaseMyTrip is rolling out its EMT 2.0 strategy to encompass hospitality and mobility services.

There is a noticeable trend of suppliers also diversifying their offerings, notably through collaborations that integrate various travel services.


The Role of AI in Travel

AI is rapidly reshaping the travel booking landscape, with startups and established companies creating solutions aimed at enhancing the customer journey:

  • Startups like 30 Sundays and Scapia are leveraging AI for itinerary planning and trip management.
  • Established firms, such as MakeMyTrip and Ixigo, are incorporating AI into their platforms for a more personalized user experience.

Conclusion

The competitive landscape of India’s travel market is evolving, with a strong focus on comprehensive service offerings and the use of AI to streamline the booking process. The next battleground is increasingly centered around enhancing the entire travel transaction experience.

Source:
Phocuswright – India Travel Market Essentials 2026

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