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ASML Raises 2026 Predictions as High-NA EUV Begins Intel Production, Potentially Shifting Investment Appeal for ASML Holding (ENXTAM:ASML)

ASML Holding N.V. Q2 2026 Results and Future Outlook

Key Highlights:

  • ASML reported stronger revenue and earnings in Q2 2026 compared to the previous year.
  • The company raised its full-year 2026 net sales guidance to between €43 billion and €45 billion.
  • Third-quarter net sales guidance is set between €11 billion and €12 billion.
  • An interim dividend of €1.88 per share will be payable on August 5, 2026.

Technological Developments:

  • ASML announced that Intel Foundry has commenced high-volume manufacturing of select Intel Core Ultra Series 3 “Panther Lake” processors on the Intel 18A platform using ASML’s High NA EUV systems. This marks a significant deployment of new lithography technology.

Investment Narrative:

  • Investing in ASML hinges on the belief that EUV, especially High NA EUV, is critical for leading-edge chip manufacturing.
  • The company’s updated sales outlook reflects a commitment to expanding production capability, especially through High NA technology.
  • Risks include potential reductions in capital spending by foundry and memory customers.

Market Insights:

  • The proof of High NA technology in real-world applications aligns closely with the company’s optimistic revenue projections.
  • Forecasts suggest €60.9 billion in revenue and €22.2 billion in earnings by 2029, necessitating substantial annual growth.
  • Analysts offer a range of revenue estimates for 2029, with conservative estimates around €42.8 billion.

Additional Resources

Conclusion

ASML’s optimistic sales forecast hinges on its continued innovation in lithography technology and the adoption by major clients like Intel. Investors may want to weigh the potential growth against risks in the semiconductor market.

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