Where the Opportunities Are: The Suburban Shift

The kosher restaurant landscape is not entirely bleak. While traditional urban hubs in Manhattan are experiencing significant downturns, the suburban regions tell a very different story. This divergence is crucial for those exploring the future of kosher dining.
A notable trend is the influx of Orthodox Jewish families moving away from New York City, which has the largest Jewish population in the country. This migration is influenced by factors such as affordability, enhanced quality of life, and at times, the prevailing political climate. Communities welcoming these families are seeing remarkable demographic shifts, especially in places like Lakewood, New Jersey. Between the 2010 and 2020 Census, Lakewood witnessed a staggering growth rate of 45.6%, ranking it as the fastest-growing municipality in the state and making it the fifth-largest city in New Jersey. According to the Census Bureau, Lakewood’s population is projected to reach nearly 142,000 by 2024, an increase from 92,843 in 2010. The community’s birth rate, bolstered by large Orthodox families, is notable, with over 5,000 births annually—exceeding that of Newark, which has a much larger population. This population boom in Lakewood is also affecting neighboring towns like Toms River and Jackson, leading to denser communities. Ocean County, as a whole, ranked as the second-fastest growing county in New Jersey according to the 2020 Census.
In Rockland County, New York, which includes Monsey and adjacent Orthodox communities, the Town of Ramapo saw its population rise from 108,905 in 2000 to 148,919 by 2020. Monsey, specifically, experienced a 46% surge in population during the same timeframe, with a notably young median age of just 15.7 years, reflecting the prevalence of large families. Rockland County has gained recognition for having the highest Jewish population per capita of any county in the United States. Additionally, Jewish day school enrollment in this area increased by 139% over the past two decades, marking a significant indicator of community growth across the country.
Overall, the suburban shift presents unique opportunities for kosher dining establishments to thrive in newly growing communities. As more families move to these areas, the demand for diverse and accessible kosher food options will likely rise, paving the way for exciting developments in the kosher restaurant landscape.