Welcome to a thought-provoking discussion on climate change and the evolving world of artificial intelligence. Today, we’ll delve into insights from Thomas Neuburger that shed light on the pressing climate realities alongside examples of AI-generated content. The intersection of these topics is critical, especially as concerns grow around the authenticity of AI-generated videos, which sometimes evade forensic verification.
By Thomas Neuburger. Originally published at God’s Spies
“We project a global temperature record of +1.7°C in 2027, which will provide further confirmation of the recent global warming acceleration.”
—James Hansen
Climate: You’re Soon To Be Here
If you’re keen on staying updated, take a look at Jim Hansen’s latest climate analysis (available here). I’ve highlighted key points below.
Abstract. In 2025, the global temperature fell by 0.1°C from its peak, driven by the El Niño phenomenon in 2024, making 2025 the second hottest year on record. The average temperature from 2023-2025 stands at +1.5°C compared to 1880-1920. Expect a decline in the 12-month running mean temperature over the next few months, dipping to about +1.4°C. By late 2026, we anticipate an increase as models indicate the onset of another El Niño. We project a record high global temperature of +1.7°C in 2027, which will provide further confirmation of the recent acceleration of global warming.
While we haven’t yet hit any tipping points, the acceleration trend is clear. Hansen mentions an “accelerated rate” of “0.31°C per decade.” If this trend stabilizes (without further acceleration), we can expect the following temperature increases in the coming decades:
2035 — +1.81 °C
2045 — +2.12 °C
2055 — +2.43 °C
2065 — +2.84 °C
These projections are derived from the current rate of change, assuming no acceleration.
As you reflect on this data, consider:
- What will a world that is +3 degrees warmer look like?
- Will you still be around by 2065?
The ten-year-olds in my family will reach the age of 50 by then, which paints a concerning picture.
(You can find my predictions for CO2 levels, calculated similarly, here. Hint: Expect levels to exceed 500 ppm by 2050. Ouch.)
AI Forever (For a While)
Although we haven’t reached the height of technological advancement yet, the peak of AI-generated content’s realism is still ahead. Check out this short video (screenshot below) — it’s a must-watch and lasts less than a minute.
As our grandkids tell stories around fires in 2110, what marvels will they recall from our era?
The facial expressions in these videos are nearly accurate, and the gestures come off as quite natural. For instance, in one clip featuring Lord of the Rings, Gimli’s movements appear fluid, just as Harrison Ford’s smile in the Indiana Jones sequence feels genuine. However, some character’s appearances, like Karen Allen’s, still have room for improvement.
For further demonstrations, check this:
Or take a look at this:
Music
The discussions around modern technology remind me of a vintage classic, “What kind of fakery is this?” by the unforgettable Amy Winehouse.
If you’re looking for a big-band experience, try this. Enjoy!
