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Tree Branch Economics: A Fresh Perspective on Economic Theory




Government programs often create unforeseen challenges for recipients. Although they are perceived as benefits, these programs can inadvertently hinder individuals, leading to unintended dependency. Many capable and intelligent people find themselves immobilized under the guise of support.

Consider unemployment benefits. Over the last five years, countless individuals lost their jobs through no fault of their own. Unfortunately, many transitioned from being job seekers to state dependents without realizing it.

Initially, these individuals might have felt demoralized and eager to regain their independence. However, as time passed and reliance on government aid grew, they faced significant barriers to re-entering the workforce.

Tragically, many individuals who had come to depend on extended unemployment benefits were abruptly cut off. Recently, approximately 1.3 million Americans lost their unemployment assistance when a federal emergency program from the Great Recession came to an end. This trend is expected to worsen as the year progresses, leaving even more people in precarious situations.

According to a report by Bloomberg, “Failure to extend the program will affect 1.9 million people who are forecast to use up their state benefits in the first half of 2014 before they can find work.”

The Road to Hell is Paved with Good Intentions

This pattern illustrates a concerning trend. The initial intention behind these programs was undoubtedly to assist those in need, and it’s easy to sympathize with Congress’s motives.

Yet, it’s evident that policymakers often overlook the broader impacts of their actions. They predominantly focused on providing extended unemployment benefits without considering whether this assistance might inadvertently exacerbate the unemployment crisis.

As noted by Henry Hazlitt in his classic work, Economics In One Lesson, over 65 years ago, “relief will cause some men to not seek work at all, and will cause others to believe that they are effectively working not for the wage offered, but only for the difference between that wage and the relief payment.”

As reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, by November 2013, the average duration of unemployment had reached 37.2 weeks. This duration may well have been significantly shorter without the extension of benefits. Perhaps we will soon find out, given that 1.3 million individuals have just lost their support.

Tree Branch Economics

The situation resembles a malicious cycle: cultivating a system of widespread dependency only to abruptly eliminate it is both cruel and demeaning. In reality, many individuals might have been in a better position had they never received extended unemployment payments at all.

While they may have initially needed to adjust their income and lifestyle to secure new employment, they would likely have adapted to their new circumstances and moved forward. Moreover, gaining employment would have bolstered their morale.

Instead, the safety net they believed they had embraced turned into a trap, leading them into a cycle of unproductivity. Now, after prolonged periods away from the workforce, they are faced with significant challenges: their skills may have become outdated, and they might require retraining. In the competitive job market, individuals with shorter gaps in employment history will likely have an advantage.

Clearly, each situation is unique, and there is no universal remedy for these issues. However, a reduction in governmental intervention and fewer programs—such as extended benefits or policies like Obamacare—could provide a more effective starting point. This change could help avert the kinds of crises that have recently faced millions of Americans.

Sincerely,

MN Gordon
for Economic Prism

Return from Tree Branch Economics to Economic Prism

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