Introduction: As global tensions escalate, the looming threat of nuclear conflict warrants urgent attention. Despite the potential devastation that nuclear warfare could unleash, many remain unaware or indifferent. This article highlights critical conversations surrounding this issue, emphasizing the importance of awareness and proactive measures.
Yves here. Despite the escalating risks of nuclear warfare, largely fueled by America’s newfound aggressiveness and Israel’s expansive military endeavors against Iran, many people choose to ignore the looming specter of this threat to humanity and the delicate balance of life on our planet. Recently, Tucker Carlson held a detailed discussion with an expert on nuclear war’s implications, which was not only heavily informative but also profoundly unsettling. Remarkably, this compelling conversation attracted only a million views, which is modest compared to his usual audience. I encourage you to make time to watch it.
It’s a measure of their insanity that leaders around the world are seriously considering nuclear war. Ivana Hughes of Columbia on what that would mean.
(0:00) How Powerful Are Nuclear Weapons?
(9:46) What Would Happen if a Nuke Detonated Over Times Square?
(19:53) What Is… pic.twitter.com/Thux3JLtgE— Tucker Carlson (@TuckerCarlson) October 17, 2025
In a joint presentation by Theanalysis.news and The Way Forward: Regenerative Conversations, Paul Jay engages with Dr. John Izzo and Alain Gauthier to discuss the tangible risks of nuclear war. This discussion is informed by Jay’s longstanding connection with Daniel Ellsberg, a prominent voice on this pressing issue.
Originally published at Theanalysis.news
This is an auto-generated version of the transcript. An edited version will be arriving shortly.
Dr. John Izzo
There are three significant threats that could end life on Earth as we know it. Two are frequently discussed, while the third, a peril that has existed for over 70 years, is rarely mentioned, yet it remains a critical topic. The first threat is climate change and environmental degradation, a constant topic in the media. The second involves advances in AI and superintelligence, which may eventually render humans as mere pets. The neglected third threat, which many view as a remnant of the Cold War, is nuclear war. In today’s podcast, we will shed light on why nuclear conflict remains an urgent concern that demands our attention. This discussion will feature award-winning documentarian Paul Jay and his upcoming film, How to Stop Nuclear War. You won’t want to miss a minute of it, as this is the one looming threat that thoughtful individuals are not adequately contemplating. Let’s delve deeper into this topic. Hello, I’m Dr. John Izzo, welcoming you to this episode of the Way Forward: Regenerative Conversations podcast, where we explore the future of humanity and our planet, particularly from the viewpoint of those over 60, and how we can influence change for future generations. Welcome, regardless of your age.
Dr. John Izzo
Today’s subject is timely and significant, yet it’s surprising that it’s often overlooked. When conversing with discerning individuals about their concerns, the focus is typically on AI and economic forecasts. Sure, there’s apprehension about AI potentially leading to environmental destruction and changing our lifestyles. Discussions often shift to climate change, the ecological crisis, the war in Gaza, and conflict in Ukraine, along with the rising military presence of China. However, what rarely surfaces, even in educated circles, is any discourse on nuclear warfare. I have observed a stark divide in anxiety levels. Among Gen Zs and young millennials, approximately 50 to 60% express profound concern about climate change and its implications for their future and their children’s future. However, I, as a baby boomer, can attest that our generation was instead fixated on nuclear war. Growing up in New York City, I vividly recall participating in drills where we would hide under our desks, preparing for nuclear conflict—a rather grim exercise.
Dr. John Izzo
In the early 70s, I understood that living in New York City made me a prime target in the event of a nuclear strike. There were sleepless nights filled with the haunting realization that within 18 to 20 minutes, myself and everyone I loved could cease to exist. As we transitioned through the 80s, things appeared to improve slightly, with strides made in arms control and agreements aimed at curbing the nuclear arms race. The fall of the Berlin Wall led many to perceive nuclear threats as relics of the past. However, fast forward to the present, and I believe the dangers we face today could rival or exceed those of previous decades. A new arms race is unfolding, characterized by Russia, China, and the United States continuously developing destabilizing weapons. Tensions are escalating, and many people now refer to our current situation as a “house of dynamite.”
Dr. John Izzo
We find ourselves surrounded by armaments capable of annihilating life as we know it in just 30 to 90 minutes, yet we persist in pretending that everything is fine. This makes today’s discussion vitally important, as those concerned about the future must redirect their focus toward this seemingly outdated peril, which remains a present-day reality. Today, we have the honor of welcoming Canadian film director and producer Paul Jay, who is currently creating How to Stop Nuclear War. This project could not be more urgent. Before we commence, consider this intriguing perspective: upon taking office amid the Cold War’s peak, Ronald Reagan was briefed that he would have a mere six minutes to decide how to respond in a nuclear emergency. Reagan reportedly remarked that no one could make a sound and prudent decision in such a short time regarding such a critical matter. With that, I will turn the conversation over to Alain as we welcome Paul Jay.
Alain Gauthier
Welcome, Paul. Your journey has been quite diverse.
Dr. John Izzo
At one point, you worked as a truck driver and later as a railroad mechanic before transitioning into filmmaking.
Paul Jay
Could you share an early experience that guided you toward journalism and documentary filmmaking? While it’s hard to pinpoint one specific moment, I can reflect on how my early life pushed me towards creating this film. I was born in 1951, and my childhood was filled with the “duck and cover” mentality. In public school, we often hid under our desks in fear of nuclear war, surrounded by an environment steeped in Cold War propaganda. Not only did we dread nuclear conflict, but we were also taught to fear a Soviet invasion. We learned to believe in the mantra that better dead than red, creating a culture steeped in manufactured paranoia. It was only later that I discerned just how much of that fear was woven from fabrications.
Paul Jay
In 1958, we were told there was a bomber gap, alarming us that a fleet of Soviet bombers was headed our way. However, that turned out to be a fallacy; the reality showed the U.S. had far greater numbers of bombers than the Soviets. The SAGE Radar System, created in the late 50s and early 60s to purportedly protect America, was a costly failure, having consumed almost three times the resources expended on the Manhattan Project, while yielding nothing in return. It was during this period that I witnessed significant historical events, such as the Cuban Missile Crisis and the assassination of President Kennedy.
Paul Jay
By the time I reached 14 or 15, I’d given up on my education because I believed I would not live to see 20. This experience echoed Daniel Ellsberg’s story—when he first worked at Rand Corporation, he laughed off a pension offer, believing he wouldn’t be around to collect it. My upbringing instilled in me the belief that nuclear war could erupt any moment. Over the years, while some of us had become more concerned with climate issues and socio-economic disparities, after reading Ellsberg’s book, Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner, I started reevaluating our current nuclear situation.
Paul Jay
Ellsberg, once a staunch Cold Warrior, begins to unravel the mythos surrounding the nuclear threat—the exaggerated Soviet military expansion narrative. It’s pivotal to discuss how this culture of fear precedes the very existence of the Soviet Union.
Dr. John Izzo
Thank you for that, Paul. Let’s delve deeper into your relationship with Daniel Ellsberg, known for leaking the Pentagon Papers and subsequently becoming a fierce advocate against nuclear war. To address the prevailing misconception that nuclear war is a relic of the Cold War, can you elaborate on why we should be concerned about it now and if it’s truly more dangerous than ever?
Paul Jay
First and foremost, the Cold War never truly ended. To suggest we are in a more perilous era now since the end of the Cold War misinterprets the facts. The Cold War was not solely about Soviet military expansion; that narrative was a mask. Historical evidence shows there was no significant military threat from the Soviet Union. Reports from the CIA over the years consistently affirmed that they were on a defensive stance, contrary to the claims of ostensible threats.
Paul Jay
Thus, the essence of the Cold War revolved around preserving American hegemony and suppressing national liberation movements in various regions, which posed a significant threat to U.S. dominance. This ongoing legacy shapes current foreign policy, with NATO ensuring Europe remains within the American sphere of influence. Today, the idea of a peer competitor, particularly related to China and Russia, complicates international relations while heightening tensions globally.
Paul Jay
As we navigate today’s perilous landscape, the cumulative dangers surrounding unchecked nuclear arsenals and diplomatic failures escalate daily. Recently, former head of the U.S. Strategic Command alluded to the fragility of the current system, attributing our survival without a nuclear incident to sheer luck and the prudence of a select few decision-makers. The stakes are extraordinarily high, and the potential for miscalculation amid rising tensions is an ever-looming reality.
Dr. John Izzo
I can’t help but feel that the system’s fragility, amplified by emerging technologies such as AI, defines our current climate. The increasing number of unstable, nuclear-capable countries only adds to the complexity. So, as we confront the existential threat of nuclear war today, how can we take actionable steps to mitigate this looming disaster?
Dr. John Izzo
I hope you’re enjoying this enlightening conversation with Paul Jay. There is still much ground to cover, so please stay tuned. I want to take a moment to thank you for being part of our community and encourage you to subscribe to this podcast on your preferred platform. Your subscriptions help us grow and spread these vital ideas far and wide.
Paul Jay
Your comments are invaluable as they engage others in this critical discourse, the very essence of our podcast.
Dr. John Izzo
Before returning to our important discussion with Paul Jay, I’d like to draw your attention to an upcoming live podcast on December 2nd at 8:00 AM Pacific Time, titled Climate Crossroads: Why Haven’t We Made More Progress and How Can We Move Forward? You can find the link to sign up for this live event in the show notes. We’d love to have you join us. Now, let’s continue this significant conversation. Paul, your forthcoming film, How to Stop a Nuclear War, takes inspiration from Daniel Ellsberg’s insights. What core ideas from his reflections have influenced your approach?
Paul Jay
Ellsberg’s trajectory as a true believer in the Cold War underscores the evolution of understanding surrounding these attitudes. Initially, he recognized underlying lies, later diving deep into the systemic issues at play. His transformational journey demonstrates the possibility for reformative thought, resonating with the belief that, if someone like Ellsberg could evolve his perspective, there is hope for others within similar institutions.
Paul Jay
It’s integral to understand that this isn’t a matter of equating all forms of governance or ideologies. We cannot conflate communism with Stalinism or capitalism with oppressive regimes. It is essential to emphasize the uniqueness of each political and economic system while acknowledging the deep historical roots of distrust and fear shaped by American interventions.
Paul Jay
Ultimately, we must grapple with narratives that perpetuate misunderstanding around nuclear capabilities and the hyperbole surrounding perceived threats. By addressing these entrenched stereotypes, we can work towards dispelling myths and enhancing public engagement and activism.
Dr. John Izzo
As we approach the conclusion of this discussion, it is imperative to address the avenues citizens can take to actively engage and promote awareness regarding nuclear threats. How can ordinary individuals restore discourse on such an immense challenge?
Paul Jay
Engagement is essential. In this election cycle, consistently ask candidates about their plans to mitigate nuclear risks. Attend meetings, rallies, and community events, urging them to position these concerns in their dialogues. Our film aims to educate and empower individuals to advocate for systemic change.
Dr. John Izzo
It begins with us, as engaged citizens, to raise awareness, demand accountability, and inform ourselves and our communities about these vital issues. Paul, thank you for dedicating your time to this urgent concern. We appreciate your ongoing commitment to understanding and confronting nuclear risks.
Paul Jay
Thank you for having me. Furthermore, I encourage everyone not just to vote but to take to the streets. It’s crucial now to unite climate action with nuclear awareness, galvanizing grassroots movements that amplify our voices.
Dr. John Izzo
Excellent point, Paul. Alain, I’d like to give you a chance for any final thoughts before we wrap up today’s conversation. Given the weightiness of the existential threats we’ve discussed, how do you personally find hope and maintain a sense of balance?
Paul Jay
Interestingly, I once posed this question to Ellsberg. Despite discussing deeply disturbing matters, his demeanor exudes positivity. Personally, I consider myself a clinical optimist. Any rational evaluation might steer one towards pessimism; however, humanity has triumphed over adversities before. The fight for humanity’s survival is worth pursuing, as is the collective effort to advocate for our shared existence.
Dr. John Izzo
Thank you, Paul, for that inspiring closing thought. To encapsulate the essence of our discussion: as Brezhnev once cautioned, “There are no winners in nuclear war; the living would envy the dead.” The leadership of our nations has largely recognized this truth, yet fear and ignorance render it a taboo topic. We must not allow these burdens to paralyze us; instead, illuminating the reality of nuclear dangers could spark the dialogue and action needed to change our world for the better.
Dr. John Izzo
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Alain Gauthier
Thank you for joining us for this episode of The Way Forward: Regenerative Conversations podcast. I’m Jim Burke, the producer. We’d like to extend our heartfelt thanks to our sponsors, Elders Action Network and Elders Climate Action, whose unwavering support makes this podcast possible. Their commitment to empowering elders to act on climate change and social justice is truly inspiring. If this conversation inspires you as much as it did us, please subscribe to our podcast and YouTube channels. Your support helps us continue these vital discussions with a broader audience. Don’t forget to share this episode widely as we all work together to shape a better world for generations to come. Find us on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, Amazon, Instagram, and YouTube Shorts. Together, we can make a difference. We’d love to hear from you with feedback and suggestions for future guests—please reach out to us at thewayforwardrc@gmail.com. Thank you for being part of the Way Forward community.